Florida vs Florida State 11/27/2010

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AccuScore is forecasting a close game with Florida winning 52% of simulations, and Florida State 48% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. Florida commits fewer turnovers in 34% of simulations and they go on to win 67% when they take care of the ball. Florida State wins 61% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Jeffery Demps is averaging 51 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (23% chance) then he helps his team win 67%. Jermaine Thomas is averaging 44 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (18% chance) then he helps his team win 65%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is FLAST -2.5

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